currencies

The euro is “celebrating” its 20th anniversary this month, but they aren’t popping corks across the continent. The underlying assumption of a common currency—namely, that it would lead to a convergence of the member countries’ production,…

The trading day is over in the US and the numbers look good. Equity markets have recovered smartly from last weeks nosedive, with all major US indices up about 1%. Notable for me is the fact that WTI is trading close to $50 a barrel and the…

If you look at markets today, they are on full strike. The Fed may have reduced guidance. But that was clearly not enough to assuage market sentiment. Across a wide cross-section of markets, conditions have continued to tighten this morning…

There are a number of market, economic and political threads I want to comment on as we end the week. In terms of my mood, having digested the recent economic and political news, I am actually hopeful. I think the prospect of recession and…

Trump's bellyaching about the Fed is only harming him. It serves no useful purpose. If he thinks it's a veiled threat, he's wrong.

In contrast to the last month, it was a good day for the markets today. So I want to do a mini-recap. All eyes on Apple First up: Apple is slated to report tomorrow afternoon after the closing bell. Expectations for their earnings report…

I want to start today's daily with the markets and the real economy before I branch out into more political economy including Germany. European economic numbers And since I mentioned Germany, let me start there. A slew of economic data came…

This morning, US stock futures are pointing to triple-digit losses after declines in Europe and in Asia. And the European indices are at a one-year low. There are quite a number of proximate causes for the weakness. But the overriding fear,…

Today's daily is a grab bag of topics that I have been thinking about over the past week. I have a backlog of stories from earlier in the week I missed. So let me add these into the mix today. But first up today is this chart from German…

So, yesterday I parsed the EU sentiment data from the EU's early expansion period. And what we saw was rising support for the EU right up until 1991. But after that time, support for the EU collapsed and has never recovered. I want to look…