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Why the March 2017 jobs report won’t change the Fed’s strategy
The 98,000 jobs added to payrolls in the US in March were well below the consensus estimate of 178,000, especially when you consider downward revisions to January and February totalled 38,000. I don’t believe this matters for the Fed…
Jobless claims and ADP data positive ahead of jobs report
The consensus for the March jobs report is for an addition of 178,000 jobs. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.7%. Other data show the risk is to the upside here.
Water desalination as the cure for shortages
A couple of days ago, a study released by Nature Nanotechnology said a new graphene filter could be a major step forward in removing salt from seawater and making it safe for drinking
Why the Fed minutes show the FOMC moving toward Bullard and balance sheet shrinkage
What about running down the balance sheet — reverse QE if you will? I think this is where the Fed minutes offered some new thinking.
Why the Fed was talking to big money investors, leading to a major leak
I think I have the answer to at least one question: why was the Fed talking to big money investors in the first place. My thoughts follow below.
Water and mergers and acquisitions
This is a follow-up on my entry water post from yesterday. The thesis here is that mergers will be a big part of the landscape as companies seek economies of scale and scope or vertically integrate to deliver water to their customers. But…
Some thoughts on water and climate change
If water becomes a contentious issue, it will have geopolitical and military implications. And we would need to solve the water issue to prevent those implications from leading to nationalism and military confrontation.
The latest poor numbers coming out of the auto sector
US auto sales have been down persistently on a year-over-year basis during the past several months. March was no different, according to figures released today.
Quick thought on how jobless claims matter
I have heard some people dismiss jobless claims as a data series for two distinct reasons that I want to flag given my view that claims data matter.
Was it right to be on recession watch in 2016?
We are now three months into 2017 and we can look back on 2016 as a fairly good year economically for the US. So given that backdrop, was it right to worry about a recession in 2016? And what does that say about 2017? Here’s my view below.