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Markets
Frantically revising Japanese corporate earnings projections
Analysts' latest adjustments to corporate earnings forecasts for Japanese firms show many more upward than downward revisions. Merrill Lynch tracks the "number of stocks for which consensus EPS estimate has risen vs. the number for which it…
In the long run we are all in trouble
Now, you may well deduct from all of this that I am as bearish as I have ever been, but nothing could be further from the truth. The issues I have discussed in this month’s letter are clouds on the horizon which are likely to take years to…
Portugal’s Step Forward
This is an important day for Portugal. It is selling 10-year bonds for the first time in more than two years. Demand is reportedly strong. Today's 10-year sale follows the 5-year bond sale in January and heralds to full return of Portugal…
Chart of the day: US corporate bond yields are at a record low
Since we've never been at these yield levels, this is uncharted territory in corporate bond pricing. Certainly bond spreads have been lower in the past - especially during the boom years. But in the post-crisis era, corporate spreads seem…
Draghi Open to Negative Deposit Rate Trumps Rate Cut to Drive Euro Lower
ECB President Draghi confirmed the decisions made today to cut the main refi rate by 25 bp to 50 bp and cut the lending rate, the ceiling of its rate corridor, by 50 bp. Most importantly he seemed more open to a cut in the deposit rate and…
Who’s been buying Spanish debt?
Spain's 10-year bond yield has fallen 108 bp this year. Just above 4%, the yield is the lowest Q4 2010. The 2-year yield has fallen 93 bp this year. The yield is slipping through 1.70%, for the first time Q2 2010. Recent data suggested that…
Slovenia cut to junk by Moody’s; outlook negative
Moody's Investors Service released the following statement in conjunction with a ratings action it took today on Slovenian sovereign debt.
Is Sweden concerned about the krona?
The Swedish krona is somewhat firmer today but it is the biggest loser among the major currencies this week. It has lost about 2.3% against the dollar and 2.1% against the euro. According to Bloomberg, this is the single biggest weekly…
On the crash in gold
Gold is breaking down in a big way right now. We are well into bear market territory here.
Marc Faber thinks it could fall to $1300... before rebounding. A number of noted goldbugs are talking about a Fed conspiracy. So what is going on…
Canadian households may face more deleveraging
Some recent data out of Canada points to a slowdown in growth of consumer indebtedness. According to RBC, the non-mortgage consumer debt has grown at the slowest rate in 20 years. This is clearly a positive development, but when taking…