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Browsing Category
Markets
The yen has replaced the dollar as the fulcrum in the FX market
The yen bears have been frustrated by a series of developments. They were unpleasantly surprised by news that the Japanese themselves were large sellers, not buyers, of foreign bonds in the first full week of the new fiscal year. In…
Kyle Bass gets it wrong on Japanese bonds
This is a good interview with Kyle Bass because it cuts to the heart of the matter. If you are a partisan in the Bass debate on Japan, you can see him as being either correct or incorrect. Now, I have covered this before and I have stressed…
The Need for Wholesale Change
In the short term, though, a continuation of the currently lax monetary policy is likely to lead to higher assets prices. The investor mindset is very much in risk-on mode at the moment, as documented by the surprisingly calm reaction to…
Full Text: Moody’s affirms Ireland’s Ba1/NP ratings and negative outlook
Moody's Investors Service has today affirmed the Republic of Ireland's Ba1/Not Prime government bond ratings and negative outlook.
Full Text: Moody’s Downgrades Argentina’s Foreign Law Bonds to Caa1, Affirms B3 Issuer…
Moody's issued the following press release yesterday in relation to Argentina's foreign-law sovereign obligations.
China’s real estate bubble
"China's economy has become the second largest in the world, but its rapid growth may have created the largest housing bubble in history. Lesley Stahl reports."
Expect the Unexpected in A Low Return Environment
The seemingly never-ending debate on passive vs. active investment management is beginning to annoy me. The discussion is one-dimensional and, at times, completely derailed. I shall be the first to admit that the long-only industry has not…
Dissension is Overrated – Part II
Bernanke will inflate at an accelerating pace. The other central banks will chase him.
The leveraged loan market is on fire
Sub-investment-grade loans continue to perform well, driven by demand for floating rate product. As an example, the chart below compares the performance of Invesco's "Senior Income" fund (VVR) - which mostly holds loans of…
When Safe Havens Fall
So what is a safe haven you might ask? Well I certainly don't have the final answer, but I would suppose it should as many as the following characteristics as possible.