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Gold
Gold member posts
GDPNow still near 4%, showing Q2 likely to be a monster quarter
The Fed is likely to continue to talk up the US economy. And I believe markets will react. With the yield curve at 32 basis points spread between 2- and 1-year Treasuries, we still have scope for further curve flattening.
Tesla fighting to show it’s the 2018 version of Amazon circa 2001
We're in the midst of another technology bubble. And Tesla has benefitted greatly. When this bubble pops, where will Tesla be?
Jobs number puts four hikes on the table. Watch for QT increase and curve flattening
The US jobs number just came out and the figures were quite good. Two-year yields spiked on the news.
No, the Fed hasn’t lost control of overnight rates. Zoltan Pozsar is wrong.
I continue to believe that the bond bear market thesis is flawed. Money managers following it will lose a lot of money.
More on why Italy is not yet a threat to the economy or markets
This post was originally published on Patreon on 30 May 2018
Yesterday I said that I believed the Italian meltdown presented a buying opportunity because it was not existential. And today, calm has returned, actually sooner than I had…
Italy means risk-off yes, but contagion will remain limited
For now, think of Italy as a short-term risk-off trigger that has limited longer-term impact. To me, this presents a buying opportunity.