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Proactive fiscal tightening damages income growth
While the credit expansion/savings reduction needs to continue to grow to support GDP growth, the credit expansion/savings reduction doesn’t need to ‘spike up’ proactively as it does when the fiscal tightening is proactive.
Week Ahead: Re-Escalation of Tensions to Aid Greenback
By Marc Chandler
- This week, investors should brace for a re-escalation of tensions in Crimea and China
- There are four sources of heightened tensions with the Crimean crisis
- Weekend news from China played on fears that the yuan is…
EM Preview: The Crimean crisis threatens to escalate
By Win Thin and Ilan Solot
The Crimean crisis threatens to escalate again this week. Russian forces in Crimea have been increased and they are consolidating their control of Crimea. This involves neutralizing Ukrainian bases in Crimea and…
More on the failure of Abenomics
My contention has been that the first two arrows of Abenomics gave the Japanese economy a short window to bring the Japanese labour market back to full employment, re-ignite wage gains, and institute structural reforms. In my view, Abe has…
Banks shedding asset management businesses
Here is a chart showing the number of transactions that involve acquisitions of an asset management business by year. It tells us about a couple of trends developing in recent years.
Ruble hits new lows as Bank of Russia focuses on more “pressing” issues
Capital outflows from Russia seem to be picking up steam. These outflows - combined with the central bank's "weaker ruble" policies and the Ukrainian tensions - are all fueling the ruble sell-off. The ruble resumed its slide this week,…
Economic and market themes: 2014-03-07
Themes for today:
The US faces political constraints in a cyclical downturn that will limit government response
The US private surplus is under assault
Europe is improving and upgrades to bank stocks are bullish
The Fed tends to…