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Markets
Dollar Bid as European Woes Dominate
News that the US super committee failed to reach an agreement has done little to eclipse the negative impulses coming from Europe. Rajoy won no honeymoon in Spain despite achieving an outright majority in parliament. Spain's 10-year bond…
Kyle Bass on Hardtalk about Europe, Japan and Hedge Funds
BBC’s Hardtalk recently featured Kyle Bass, Founder of Hayman Capital, a hedge fund based in Texas to talk about global markets and the sovereign debt crisis.
Video below
Brazil: Outlook Vulnerable To Developed Market Developments
Brazil stands out now for being one of the few in EM to be cutting rates. We think most in EM will be cutting rates by Q1 2012 due to the deteriorating global growth outlook, and so BRL will still likely continue to enjoy a big yield…
Euro Crisis At A Tipping Point?
The European sovereign debt crisis is rapidly approaching what could be a significant tipping point as it threatens to spread to the heart of Europe. In recent days Italian 10-year bond yields have soared to 7.22% and today Spain was forced…
Chart of the day: Hours of work needed to buy an ounce of gold
Central banks have done a great job at driving up the price of gold but a horrible job at creating wage inflation. If it now takes 88 hours to buy an ounce of gold versus 20 hours in 2000, hasn’t that grossly deflated real wages in a…
“Germany is the core, everything else is secondary”
The Wall Street Journal's Matt Phillips describes the turmoil in European sovereign bond markets. He says some traders tell him that they now consider countries like France a part of the periphery and are pricing it as such. This risk-off…
Why the Yen is Strong
The yen and the Swiss franc were seen as safe haven currencies during the tumultuous crisis in Europe. The Swiss National Bank has effectively and apparently cheaply took the franc out of the game. This may have increased some speculative…
Buiter: Europe must act now to avoid a default
Former bank of England central banker and present Citigroup Chief Economist Willem Buiter spoke to Tom Keene this morning on Bloomberg Radio. His view is similar to mine, that Europe must act now to avoid a default. He believes we could…
Chart of the day: Contagion spreads to the Netherlands
Yesterday, I showed you that contagion had spread and default probabilities were blowing out right across Europe. Every single name on the list for sovereign credit default wideners was European and names like Austria, Estonia, and Slovakia…
Running through Italian default scenarios
The most important debate of our lifetimes is now ongoing. The question: Should the ECB “write the check’ for the euro area national governments? In thinking about the answer to this all-important question, I prefer to shift the focus by…