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Markets
Ominous
This shouldn’t be happening after this weekend’s good political news. The spread widening is weighing on France who will be on the hook for their banks who are heavily exposed to European sovereigns. Where are you ECB?
Gross, El-Erian on Europe, Strategy, Treasuries
PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian and Bill Gross spoke exclusively with Bloomberg Television’s Tom Keene today from the company’s headquarters in Newport Beach, CA about Europe’s crisis, PIMCO’s investment strategy and Treasury yields.
Video…
Contagion: Default probabilities blow out right across Europe
Look at this chart of the sovereign credit default swap wideners today. Every single name is European. The only one with a sub-10% default possibility is Sweden, and they are not in the euro zone. That tells you something, doesn’t it? I…
Video: Warren Buffet says euro zone has “fundamental flaw”
Warren Buffett was on CNBC this morning for three hours talking about a whole range of issues from the European sovereign debt crisis to too big to fail to housing in the US to penalties for corporate crime. The video of Europe is below,…
Chart of the day: Hours of work needed to buy the S&P500
Here is an interesting take on the valuation of the S&P500 by our friends over at The Chart Store, who do excellent work. Their chart shows that it now takes 69.23 hours at the average hourly wage of $19.53 to buy the S&P500.
Here’s what traders are saying about ECB intervention
Italian 10-year yields are now down below 6.5%, that’s a full percentage point lower than on Wednesday. Market players suspect ECB intervention is behind the sizable move. Still, everyone is breathing a sigh of relief as we head into the…
Jim Grant: The ECB will print money
Jim Grant spoke to Bloomberg News earlier today about the sovereign debt crisis. He says the fundamental question is "What will the European Central Bank do next?" His answer: they will "print money". He believes that all of the central…
Euro Crisis Enters Dangerous Stage
We see no easy way out of the current turmoil. The result of enough fiscal austerity to relieve the debt pressures is a severe recession or depression. Historically, independent nations undergoing austerity have accompanied the policy with…
Italian contagion pushes Spanish spreads to near-record 414 basis points
We are experiencing a European bond market crash. There’s not much time left. Make your trades now because a policy response is imminent; I’m thinking by Monday morning.
A policy response must be forthcoming in short order or the contagion will overwhelm everything else
The scale of the Italian challenge is far greater than Greece's as Italy's sovereign debt is bigger than Greece, Ireland, Spain and Portugal's put together. Greece has, prior to the coming haircuts, about 350 bln euros of debt. Italy has to…