2018

Short-term and long-term interest rates in the US have overtaken those in Australia for the first time in a number of years, with the Reserve Bank of Australia predicted to be on hold for another two years. This makes funding via US…

Quick note here to update you on some of the macro data I continue to be bullish on the near-term US economy. As I wrote this morning, the Q2 and Q3 GDP numbers are both showing more than 4% growth. And with the ISM Manufacturing data…

Happy Tuesday! In the US, the summer holiday season is officially over today. And so, markets here are fully re-engaged. That usually means a reassessment of the economic, political, and investing landscape. And that has sometimes led to…

The emerging markets crisis is real now More and more people are talking about the spillover of Fed policy into emerging markets as the crisis there gathers pace. I know the Fed Chairman Powell has said that EM is not his concern.…

Today's daily newsletter is very late but hopefully still useful. Yesterday I said I have a few thoughts on China that I want to run by you. I didn't get them out yesterday. So I will incorporate them into today's post. Feedback appreciated…

In the daily newsletter today, I mentioned that Uber's new strategy makes it a kind of anti-Tesla in that it's all about transportation rental and usage versus ownership. And I want to expand on that a little here. Uber's big plans Since…

The continuing anti-immigrant fervour in Europe Little is known about how or why the brawl started. Police have dismissed rumours circulating online that the man was defending a woman from sexual assault. But within hours of his death in…

Ten years after the financial crisis, Trump’s rise to power is a consequence of poor governance.

The daily is a bit late today because I had some engagements this morning. Things will be back to normal tomorrow. But expect a late newsletter on Thursday as well. 1. Canada's private sector echoing 1990s America Goldman has a good note…

Yesterday, I was biking downtown in DC on the road near the Watergate that leads to the Lincoln Memorial. It was a picturesque day here with blue skies and low humidity - a perfect day for a bike ride. But as I passed these two landmarks, I…