monetary policy

The last update I gave you on the market in the aftermath of the ECB's policy statement was about central banks being too tight. The gist of my remarks was that CBs are all poised to tighten, if and when the data allow them to do so. This…

Note: this post is going out via Patreon and Credit Writedowns. So, you may get duplicate emails. I am just doing this to alert anyone that is only getting emails on one platform to ping me at [email protected], so I can fix that.…

By Marc Chandler This first appeared on Marc's site, Marc to Market In the iconography of Mao, some see pictures of the Chairman showing both ears as signaling that he was listening to all the people.  In this sense, Powell had his Mao…

Quick note: With the ECB's policy statement today, it's clear that a lot of major central banks are still running policy that is too tight given the emerging global growth slowdown. I mentioned the Bank of Canada yesterday. But I also…

What are markets saying? The good times are over! The days of extremely low volatility, with the VIX trading at 12 or 13 are now over. We may see an up day or a down day, but the volatility is now higher than it was before - perhaps…

Two issues I mentioned yesterday need some clarification. Trump will declare a state of emergency for the Wall The first is the shutdown. It's this quote that needs clarification: The longer the shutdown goes on, the more damage it will do.…

I mentioned earlier today that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell had a joint discussion with former Chair Janet Yellen and former Chairman Ben Bernanke at the American Economic Association and Allied Social Science Association 2019…

I am doing my 2019 outlook pieces now. And I plan on making some market outlook comments in the coming days. But, what's going on in the market right now is equally important. As the stock market takes a battering due to concerns about…

I want to talk a little about price action in asset markets this week. But, since I am on holiday, I am going to keep this short. Most of the focus has been on equities, where volatility has increased. But I am looking at this as more of a…

As I wrote yesterday, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates a quarter point but changed guidance in the face of tightening financial conditions. In his press conference afterwards, the Fed Chairman - also as predicted - talked bullishly…