investing

The same people who have been screaming inflation for the past few years are now saying that interest rates are finally about to explode. This is alarmist nonsense that disregards the influence policy rates have over the term structure of…

Given the ongoing volatility in fixed income markets, it's time to once again to take a look at performance. The chart below shows where we stand on a year-to-date basis for major asset classes from a USD investor's point of view.

Yves Smith argues that the US equity markets have come to play an outsized role in the US from a policy and practical level. And she warns that it is never a good idea to try to assess complex phenomena with a single metric.

So the past year has been the year of earnings decline. Yet, the US stock market keeps powering to new highs. What's going on? It's called multiple expansion and it is the hallmark of all bull markets, cyclical or secular. The question is…

We think it would be a good idea to take a step back to see how EM FX and equities have performed during this recent bounce. Many EM currencies peaked against the dollar and the euro in early May, but then gave up ground, especially after…

Barclays Capital had a sobering update on India today. Apparently June saw the largest outflows on record from India bonds and equities portfolios. As a result, declines in India's foreign reserves are becoming material.

Emerging markets underperformance that started in late 2011 is continuing. While part of the gap has been due to US equities generally outperforming global shares, we now have some 60% dispersion between emerging markets and the S&P500.

A rout in global equities is taking shape with the decline led by Japan and emerging markets. Japan is now in bear market territory, with shares down over 20% from the high. But emerging markets are my main worry because of the real…

This is what has changed in the EM space in, our view. 1) Brazil is stepping up its defences against market volatility. 2) Signs that China is looking for more (and better) sources of external funding sources is mounting. 3) Turkish…