investing

MPT is based on a number of assumptions, some of which are more restrictive than others. The question is whether the sum of those assumptions is so far off the mark that it renders the entire theory absolutely useless. Effectively the…

I have two topics I want to highlight this morning. First, there are the US housing inflation numbers from Case Shiller, which are at a 7-year high. Then there is the fiscal drag in the US, Denmark, the UK, the Euro Zone and Canada. What I…

Yesterday, Ben Bernanke said that the Fed would start to wind down it's QE program sometime this summer as I indicated early last week I believed the timetable would be. Market pundits believe these remarks triggered a sell-off in global…

Europe's GDP numbers have just been released today and they are miserable. They show the Netherlands and France in recession along with the rest of the periphery. And even outside the euro zone, we got some pretty dire numbers out of the…

Analysts' latest adjustments to corporate earnings forecasts for Japanese firms show many more upward than downward revisions. Merrill Lynch tracks the "number of stocks for which consensus EPS estimate has risen vs. the number for which it…

Now, you may well deduct from all of this that I am as bearish as I have ever been, but nothing could be further from the truth. The issues I have discussed in this month’s letter are clouds on the horizon which are likely to take years to…

I have been posting for a while now that I think Greece provides the greatest upside potential. Greece's sovereign bonds outperforming was one of my ten surprises for 2013 three months ago. And with bond yields now falling below 10%, Morgan…

Since we've never been at these yield levels, this is uncharted territory in corporate bond pricing. Certainly bond spreads have been lower in the past - especially during the boom years. But in the post-crisis era, corporate spreads seem…

Amazon, Apple, and Samsung, three of the biggest names in the technology space, have reported this week. In all three cases, there were gaps in the earnings reports and the earnings outlooks. For me, however, Samsung's report was the best…

Gold is breaking down in a big way right now. We are well into bear market territory here. Marc Faber thinks it could fall to $1300... before rebounding. A number of noted goldbugs are talking about a Fed conspiracy. So what is going on…