ECRI

From the ECRI website: A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to the lowest since July 2009, indicating that the economy will continue to slow, a research group said on Friday. The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New…

The ISM manufacturing index fell much more than expected, but close to what our models were foreshadowing — down 3.5 points, to 56.2 in June, the low-water mark of the year. The number of industries reporting growth fell to 13 from 16 in…

The following is an excerpt of the Weekly Market Commentary By John Hussman. Based on evidence that has always and only been observed during or immediately prior to U.S. recessions, the U.S. economy appears headed into a second leg of an…

A post by John Mauldin. In this issue: The Risk of Recession The Leading Indicators Are Starting to Turn Terms of Trade and US Real GDP Bernanke at the Crossroads Vancouver, Maine, and San Francisco We are…

This comes via the ECRI website: A measure of future U.S.economic growth rose slightly in the latest week, but its annualized growth rate continued to fall, indicating the economy is about to slow, a research group said on Friday.The…

Below is the weekly commentary from Comstock Partners. The softening in the economy that we have been looking for is now becoming a reality as a wide sampling of the latest monthly or weekly economic releases clearly indicates that a…

The following is an excerpt from John Hussman's latest Weekly Market Commentary. I noted last week that we are closing in on a syndrome of indications that has always and only appeared during or immediately prior to recessions. At present,…

This morning ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan was talking about the recovery on CNBC. His take is that the recent slowdown in GDP growth is normal for the recessions since before World War II so far. If we dip even more from here, we have trouble.…

This week I have decided to do the weekly review both as a links post and in narrative form.  I have already posted the links of the most-read articles (see them here). In this weekly review narrative, I want to discuss the…