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The fall in the unemployment rate has accelerated and is consistent with continued recovery
Here's a brief, late Friday post to follow up on the jobs number. If you look at recoveries from past recessions in the United States, what you usually see is a fall in the year-over-year unemployment rate as the economy gathers steam. And…
Chart of the Day: Employed and Unemployed Persons, Household Survey
There has been a lot of controversy about today's employment situation summary because of comments by Jack Welch, the former GE CEO. Welch suggested on Twitter that the Obama Administration had manipulated the household survey data to give…
The deteriorating economic climate in Italy
When it comes to the euro zone, most eyes are fixed on Spain and Greece where a debt deflationary death spiral has begun. But the economic situation remains fragile in other countries of the so-called periphery. Italy is the largest…
US Jobs Report: Something for Everyone, though Still not Enough
By Marc Chandler
The US jobs report was decidedly mixed. There was good and bad news but the bottom line is that the data is still too weak for the Fed to even consider ending its unconventional policy. The economy created a net 114k jobs…
Daily: My Reaction to the US Presidential Debate
There were a lot of media reactions to the Wednesday night US Presidential debate to sift through. The general consensus seems to be that Mitt Romney 'won' the debate and that this win makes the Presidential race closer. I think that's…
Iran now in economic turmoil
By Win Thin
Recent developments in Iran are worth discussing. We feel that with Middle Eastern political risk on the rise lately, Iran is more likely to have the largest impact on global markets, while escalating tensions between Syria…
When Career Risk Reigns
I have been an observer of financial markets, and of those who operate within the markets, for almost 30 years. I have never before experienced investors paying more attention to career risk than they do at present. A preoccupation with…
The ECB’s hair-splitting exercise on Greece
By Marc Chandler
The most important thing that ECB President Draghi has said in his prepared remarks was the reluctance to reschedule Greek bond holdings on grounds that would be tantamount to monetary financing.
Really? Buying the…
What have the economists ever done for us?
By Andrew G Haldane, Executive Director, Financial Stability, Bank of England
There is a long list of culprits when it comes to assigning blame for the financial crisis. This column argues economists are among the guilty, having succumbed…
Why negative nominal rates may be the Fed’s next big move
This crisis has broken a lot of economic taboos, with central banks buying up assets and expanding their balance sheets in a desperate effort to reflate a debt-laden private sector. The goal is to maintain economic growth, even at the risk…