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Some quick thoughts on quantitative easing and zero rate policy
I am not a fan of quantitative easing or zero rates. I think that is clear from my posts over the past 4 years. Nevertheless, I do like to link out to posts that put QE and zero rates in a more favourable light because we need to get a…
Zero rates mean Americans are giving up on Certificates of Deposits
Retail savers in the US are abandoning certificates of deposits (CDs). The amount of CDs outstanding that are $100K or smaller has been on a sharp decline since the recession and is now at the lowest level since the Fed began keeping track…
Bernanke signals the Fed is uneasy with “reaching for yield”
As Merrill's junk bond index yield crossed the historical low of 5% on Thursday, some senior Fed officials are clearly becoming uneasy. Corporate credit markets are entering bubble territory (see discussion) and up until recently very…
Japan: Some quick thoughts on Abenomics
This is just a quick follow-up to the last post on debt deflationary dynamics in Europe and the contrast to policy in Japan. I think Yanis Varoufakis has it right that Europe is on the same path as Japan but just not as far along the path.…
Chart of the Day: Debt Deflation in the Eurozone
When I see the chart for Euro zone NPLs and look at the numbers, I think debt deflation. And this is exactly the problem with the euro zone's policy mix.
China: Some thoughts on investment and consumption
I have been arguing for several years that once China begins the adjustment process, which I expect to characterize the ten-year period of the current administration, growth rates must slow significantly. My expectation for long-term growth…
On T-Mobile’s Un-Carrier move
I keep going on and on about how mobile is where the technology industry is moving. So clearly the access/telecom end of that is going to be important. The T-mobile move to unbundle the handset subsidy from the telecom monthly fee is a bold…
More on Microsoft’s mobile strategy
Microsoft is getting a bit of black eye in the press due to its about face on the Ambitious Windows 8 platform change. While the unit numbers match up well against Windows 7, there has already been quite a bit of noise about how steep the…