Credit Writedowns

By Win Thin and Ilan Solot from yesterday What has changed? In short, pretty much everything. The FOMC meeting and the market reaction has fed into a deeper re-pricing of assets globally. The selloff in the EM space has been…

News links for 20 Jun 2013

Emerging markets underperformance that started in late 2011 is continuing. While part of the gap has been due to US equities generally outperforming global shares, we now have some 60% dispersion between emerging markets and the S&P500.

By Marc Chandler  The dollar is the king of castle, extending yesterday's post-Fed rally across the board. Emerging market currencies have been particularly hard hit and we note that the Turkish lira is at new record lows.  Asset markets…

One of the key risks of course is the size and health of the shadow banking system. Fitch in particular has been ringing some alarm bells with respect to China's private credit growth.

Last week I wrote about the asset-price fuelled boom fading. Back then the biggest worry for the market was Japan and Abenomics. However, in reality the biggest concern is emerging markets. I gave you some reasons why last week. Here are a…

The real challenges for China, if you believe in the social capital constraint, are not about maintaining high rates of growth in the short term but rather of raising the levels of social capital in China. This is much more difficult and…

The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee met today. As expected, the Fed Funds rate stayed at zero percent. Most Fed watchers, however, wanted more clarity on the Fed's quantitative easing timetable, which the Fed laid out clearly. But…

News links for 19 Jun 2013

The long-term trend in capacity utilization in the US shows a secular decline. After each major recession over the past 50 years, capacity utilization peaked at a lower level than after the previous recession. So far in the post-Great…