Members

Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Betty Liu. The overall gist of his commentary was that a euro zone breakup would be beneficial and that he believes European peripheral equities are…

Hugh Hendry made some remarks about confiscation last week that I addressed in my TV appearance on RT's capital account (see video here). The gist of his comments was that he fears government's ability to confiscate wealth as a means of…

Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard clearly doesn't understand the financial sector balances because she is about to make a policy mistake which will likely tip her economy into recession. This is a gold-level post.

Last week I said I would do a better job of tracking the Australian housing market as my prediction for 2012 is that it is a bubble which will pop.

The mood has turned against austerity in the euro zone because it is now rightly seen as anti-growth. The question is what next. Here I will hazard a few predictions of where euro zone policy is headed including a EuroTARP.

Ever since Willem Buiter mentioned the probability of a Spanish bailout some time in 2012, speculation has been rife about a Spanish bailout. In this column I argue that Spain is still too big to bail and that any bailout for Spain must…

It looks like the EU has finally figured out that austerity is anti-growth and that in the EU context this is leading to debt deflation. The word on the street is that the EU is prepared to temporarily relax the 3% Maastricht hurdle. This…

There is some evidence that recently discovered shale oil fields cannot be successfully exploited at prices under $100 a barrel.

The jobless claims came out again today and the numbers were weak.

I thought now would be a good time to see how my ten surprises for 2012 are tracking as we are nearly a third of the way through the year. I posted these as my first weekly newsletter and these are events that have 1-in-3 odds of happening…