Tracking My List of Ten Surprises for 2012

I thought now would be a good time to see how my ten surprises for 2012 are tracking as we are nearly a third of the way through the year. These are events that have 1-in-3 odds of happening but which I believe have a more than 50 percent likelihood of occurring in 2012.

Greek investors finally take their writedowns: This has already happened although the workout phase is still occurring. But this prediction has proved accurate. Bingo.

Romney will be elected President: My thinking he...


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