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Browsing Category
Markets
Debt ceiling dynamics are bond bullish
Warren Mosler argues that either way the debt ceiling debate goes, the economy remains vulnerable to looming external shocks. And that is bullish for bonds.
How to Think about Currency Intervention Risks
Officials from Japan and Switzerland have stepped up their rhetoric protesting the price action that has propelled their respective currencies sharply higher. Contrary to market anxiety the risk of intervention remains low and lower for the…
Trade, Trial Balloons, and the Yuan
Regardless of the source of inflation, it is a serious concern for Chinese officials. Chinese history shows that periods of high inflation are associated with social, economic, and political unrest - all things that the central planners in…
The ECB is the difference
The ECB does have the power to end this. They are not doing so for ideological reasons. Let me suggest two scenarios.
Mortgage company hires people to break in and steal from man not in foreclosure
And the police are not interested in prosecuting. Video below.
China’s Gold Intentions
In broad strokes, today's investment world seems to be divided into two large groups - gold optimists who expect the metal price to keep ascending, and skeptics concerned about a near end to the gold bull market. In this brief overview we…
Europe: Contagion and Containment
Tolstoy tells us in the first line of Anna Karenina that "Happy families are all alike; every unhappy family is unhappy in its own way." This is directly applicable to Europe. It is easy to tar all (growing) peripheral countries with the…
Why Greece will be cut loose
Now that Italian bonds are getting crushed and contagion is clearly spreading to the core, Greece will have to be cut loose.
Zulauf: Marching Full Speed into Calamity
Felix Zulauf sees problems ahead because of private sector debt. Expansionary fiscal policy and deficit spending have allowed the real economy to cope while expansionary monetary policy has helped asset prices. Zulauf sees a pause in this…
After careful consideration, I remain bearish
The S&P has gone from 2 standard deviations below the 20-day moving average on the 16th June to 2 standard deviations above it now, something it did prior to the 87 crash when it rallied 6.4% in the week prior to the crash. It has been…