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Markets
India: rupee in freefall, stagflation setting in, risks of sovereign downgrade and investor panic…
This is beginning to sound like a broken record, but India's currency has come under severe pressure - again. India's central bank, the RBI, seems to have completely lost control over the rupee. The currency broke through 67 to the dollar…
Chart of the day: U.S. Treasury losses in perspective
The histogram below shows the total return of long-dated treasuries over a rolling 4-month period since 2007. The leftmost bucket contains five periods that constitute the worst treasury losses since 2007. All five of these periods ended…
Fed to QE-Exit Whacked Emerging Markets: Drop Dead
The latest Fed confab at Jackson Hole is demonstrating that central bankers were so keen to avoid taking much blame for the global financial crisis that they also failed to learn critical lessons from it. That lapse in turn is directly…
Tapering claims another victim: Indonesia
In a fashion similar to what became known as the "Asian Contagion" in the late 90s, the current stress in emerging economies has been spreading. One of the nations to experience financial stress recently has been Indonesia, Southeast Asia’s…
How QE’s potential unwind reveals the existence of the currency wars
Emerging markets currencies are getting hammered across the board today on the back of the FOMC minutes. Many are touching multi-year or even all-time lows. This provides further confirmation that the Fed's recent monetary stimulus effort…
India and Brazil should thank Bernanke for their currency woes
For those who don't watch these currencies on a daily basis, these sell-offs seem to happen in spurts - almost at random. But there is a pattern here, particularly in the past few months. Investors are dumping these currencies during…
Europe is the main beneficiary of flows from emerging markets
The US dollar stands at the fulcrum. Investment flows are leaving emerging markets, with currencies from Brazil,India,Indonesia and Mexico being hit the hardest over the last few sessions. The MSCI Emerging Market Index is off 4.5% over the…
Chart of the Day: Performance across fixed income classes during 2013
Given the ongoing volatility in fixed income markets, it's time to once again to take a look at performance. The chart below shows where we stand on a year-to-date basis for major asset classes from a USD investor's point of view.
Britain’s illusory housing recovery
Osborne's behaviour both angers and frightens me. He is playing brinkmanship with the UK economy to achieve political ends. Nothing he does makes much sense from an economic point of view - which is why the flagship Help to Buy scheme has…
Profitless Stocks and Levitating Stock Prices
Yves Smith argues that the US equity markets have come to play an outsized role in the US from a policy and practical level. And she warns that it is never a good idea to try to assess complex phenomena with a single metric.