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Markets
Bernanke/Yellen To Drive Stocks 30% Higher
That's right, despite all of the recent "bubble talk," it is entirely possible that stocks could rise 30% higher from here. However, it is not because valuations are cheap because as I discussed in my recent analysis of Q3 earnings stocks…
Bitcoins, Dollars and Renminbi: Strong Bitcoin interest in China
Reports indicate strong Bitcoin interest in China. BTC, the China-based Bitcoin exchange accounts (trading a third of all Bitcoin transactions, while China may account to close to half of the daily turnover, according to some internet…
The four forces now shaping the global investment climate
There are four main forces shaping the immediate investment climate and these remain essential unchanged: 1) Fed tapering not expected until late Q1 14. 2) ECB will likely take additional action to ease financial conditions and…
Four key trends developing as a result of the rise in US mortgage rates
The recent increase in long-term rates is causing major changes in the mortgage markets. Here are some key trends
Five facts about energy sources you should know
We've had a number of questions on energy sources in the United States - particularly with respect to the generation of electricity. Here are a few interesting facts about recent trends that hopefully help clarify some of the confusion…
About that ECB interest rate cut
Consumer price inflation in the Eurozone has been below the target of 2% and falling for quite some time. But until now, the ECB has been sitting on its hands. Inflation some distance below target didn't appear to bother it - most likely…
QE: Euthanasia of the economy?
Over the past couple of years it has gradually become the consensus view that QE has failed because it hasn’t created the economic growth that everyone was hoping for. I find that view overly simplistic and naïve in equal measures. QE - or…
Household formation and affordability are headwinds in the US housing market
While the US housing market remains relatively robust, it is likely to face a couple of headwinds going forward. One is the lower affordability index. The other is the recent slowdown in net household formation.
Financial obligations rising for renters, falling for homeowners
With wages stagnant, the proportion of income going into rent is on the rise. While homeowners have been able to reduce their monthly payments to the lowest level in decades via mortgage refinancing and cutting back on credit card usage,…
Covenant-light loans are on the rise
The higher demand for leveraged loans is helping to gradually increase leverage of buyout transactions. But a more alarming trend is the sharp relaxation of lending terms - the so-called "cov-lite" (covenant-light) deals. Over 70% of recent…