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Browsing Category
Economy
Should we be optimistic?
I have had a lot of other things on my plate and haven't been able to write as regularly as I would like. But I am going to try to increase the volume of posts by putting out more quick hits like this one that capture my macro view without…
Can China increase export competitiveness?
By Michael Pettis
Three weeks ago the Wall Street Journal published my OpEd piece about concern that China may try to make the rebalancing process less painful by allowing the RMB to depreciate. In the piece I argue that this isn’t as…
Expats’ leaving China in droves is a bad economic signal
By Sober Look
Anecdotal evidence suggests that increasing numbers of western expats are beginning to leave China. A recent article that has gone viral in the expat community in China called "Why I’m leaving the country I loved" describes…
Japan Today, Spain Tomorrow
By Marc Chandler
The Bank of Japan did not disappoint and joined the ECB and Federal Reserve in taking new and non-traditional measures.The BOJ did practically everything that we outlined yesterdayand justified its move by downgrading its…
The Fed’s selling volatility into the market will force a mispricing of risk
By Sober Look
Credit Suisse has made an important point with respect to the Fed's purchases of MBS. As we know, a mortgage borrower is long an option to prepay. That means a mortgage lender is short this same prepayment option. Therefore a…
Full text: FOMC statement regarding QE3
The Federal Reserve Board issued the following statement in conjunction with the FOMC's decision to begin an aggressive round of quantitative easing.
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August suggests that…
The latest conversation with Bridgewater Associates’ Ray Dalio
Ray Dalio spoke with Maria Bartiromo at the Council on Foreign Relations this morning about a number of economic and financial topics. Dalio covered a number of topics including deleveraging the euro crisis and alternative investments like…
FDIC: 8.2% of U.S. households are unbanked, 29.3% do not have a savings account
Editor's note: The FDIC released the following press release today in conjunction with findings by the FDIC's Committee on Economic Inclusion to Discuss Strategies to Expand Access.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) today…
The Efficacy of the FOMC’s Zero Interest Rate Policy
Here's a good essay from the St. Louis Fed, examining how effective 'permanent zero' rates are. As you know, I think permanent zero is toxic. Let's see what the St. Louis Fed is saying though.
Since the late 1980s the Federal Open Market…
Moody’s issues update on the outlook for the US government’s debt rating: Budget…
The following press release was issued by Moody's Investors Service earlier today regarding the United States.
New York, September 11, 2012 -- Budget negotiations during the 2013 Congressional legislative session will likely determine the…