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Browsing Category
Economy
Chart of the day: Germany’s shrinking working-age population
I caught this FT graphic via David Wessel yesterday. It shows you that while the labour force in the Euro Zone as a whole generally continues to grow, the labour force in Germany has shrunk. During the euro era, Germany's labour force…
A reality check on German household wealth
A recent ECB household-wealth survey was interpreted by the media as evidence that poor Germans shouldn’t have to pay for southern Europe. This column takes a look at the numbers. Whilst it’s true that median German households are poor…
The challenges for China’s new leadership
My quick take is that the leadership is saying all the right things, but they have been saying these things for quite a while – nearly two years in the case of Li Keqiang, the new premier. The constraints they face, however, have neither…
Italy is now the largest borrower from the Eurosystem
By Sober Look
As European banks find some private sources of capital to fund themselves, they continue to repay their ECB loans - particularly in the 3y LTRO program.
FoxBusiness: - Next week, nine banks will repay just over 4 billion euros…
The terrible March US jobs data
I am still on vacation here through Monday but the jobs number in the US was so ugly I had to comment briefly. The unemployment rate came in at 7.6% and 88,000 jobs were added to non-farm payrolls. The consensus estimates were for 7.7%…
Poor North American Jobs Report Sends USD and CAD Lower
By Marc Chandler The shockingly disappointing non-farm payrolls growth of 88k has sent the dollar reeling. The 61k upward revisions to the Jan and March figures and the smaller than expected trade deficit were not sufficient offsets.…
Cyprus: Capital controls and the Icelandic experience
Cyprus has imposed temporary capital controls. This column sheds light on how temporary and how damaging they are likely to be, based on Iceland’s experience. The longer controls exist, the harder they are to abolish. Icelandic capital…
The trouble in Euro Area economies moves to France
By Sober Look As discussed earlier (see post) the French economy continues to struggle. The nation's consumer recession is now thought to be worse than Italy's. Markit (Trevor Balchin): - “France has overtaken Italy as having the worst…
Cyprus Bailout Deal Terms
The Cyprus bailout deal has the following terms as approved by the Eurogroup:
US small and medium-sized banks hit by interest rates
According to an analysis by Reuters, small and medium-sized banks in the US have started to take on risk as the squeeze in net interest margins is beginning to hurt profitability. The goal is to boost returns despite the low-interest rate…