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Economy
Early Reports on European Stress Tests — Ain’t So Tough
Some reports suggest that the stress that European banks may be tested for include a 17% loss on Greek bonds and a 3% loss on Spanish bonds German bunds and possibly French bonds will not be stressed--that is to say the stress test…
European Banks: Pre-Stress Test Anxiety
The market awaits for the European Bank Supervisors to provide more details about the stress tests. If the market has a better sense of the robustness of the stress tests it might lift some uncertainty among investors. There are…
It’s time to pay for lunch
Lately there has been much ink spilled (or at least the electronic equivalent) about the meaning in the downward shift of the yield curve, the significance of a two-year Treasury that sports a 5/8% yield, and a 10-year that trades in a new…
Rogoff Sees No Double-Dip But Beginning of China Property `Collapse’
Kenneth Rogoff, a professor at Harvard University and former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, talks with Bloomberg's Susan Li i Hong Kong about the global economy and China's real estate market and economy. Rogoff also…
Cecchini: U.S. Consumers in `Dire’ Credit Situation
Peter Cecchini, chief strategist at BGC Financial, talks to Pimm Fox about the U.S. economy and consumer credit on Bloomberg Television's "Taking Stock." He says that the 122% percent household debt to GDP ratio is well above the…
What do banking crises have to do with consumption?
Just three days after returning to Beijing from New York, I had to leave again, this time to a series of conferences in Torino, Italy, so it is hard to do much writing for my blog, especially since I won’t spend my free time in the hotel…
Mauldin: The Dismal Science Really Is
There's a reason economics is called the dismal science, and weeks like this just give it further meaning. In economics, there is what you see and what you don't. This week we are going to examine the headline data we all see and then take…
Econ 101 a year later…
By Annaly Capital Management. Today marks the one-year anniversary of the launch of Annaly Salvos, and we thought we would take advantage of this milestone to revisit the graph at the heart of our very first post. It is a snapshot of the…
Inventory Cycle Has Run Its Course
The ISM manufacturing index fell much more than expected, but close to what our models were foreshadowing — down 3.5 points, to 56.2 in June, the low-water mark of the year. The number of industries reporting growth fell to 13 from 16 in…
Are Iceland’s Banks About To Go Bust Once Again?
It seems so if you read the latest from the Financial Times (hat tip Marshall Auerback): Iceland's banking sector is facing a fresh wave of losses after a court ruling raised doubts over the legality of billions of dollars of loans.…