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I was just looking at Barry Ritholtz’s synopsis of Felix Zulauf’s observations from an in-office interview Barry had with him and I have to say I agree with the man 100%. But is the die cast? Are we headed into something much worse?

Bottom line: I think we are in the technical recovery phase of a double dip recession that is a once in a generation period of balance sheet repair. To me, it’s a depression. Irrespective of what you call this thing we are living through,…

If you are an investor, businessperson or employee, what you care about is outcomes. You want to know what’s likely to happen in the economy and in the markets. That is what this site is all about. What I see says that cuts were coming.…

A comprehensive outline of the Irish situation and with a retrospective on the steps leading us to the brink.

Overall, I would say that the exogenous shocks have added to downside risk. I would expect economic weakness in the second half of 2011. If economic weakness does materialize in the US, I would expect lower long-term interest rates. Many…

The private sector (particularly the household sector) is overly indebted. The level of debt households now carry cannot be supported by income at the present levels of consumption. The natural tendency, therefore, is toward more…

It's high time I laid my cards on the table about 2011. I have hinted around my view in previous posts, promising to spell it out in detail. So, here it is: I am cautiously optimistic on the US and global economy for 2011. Let me explain…

"Whatever political party holds the white house wants to get re-elected. So it's going to do whatever it can to make the economy look good on election day" -Mark Hulbert This is how I see things as well. The question, of…

I have just finished reviewing Byron Wien's Ten Surprises for 2010. Now, I present you Byron Wien's Ten Surprises for 2011. He is bullish again. Enjoy.   -Byron R. Wien, Vice Chairman, Blackstone Advisory Partners, today issued his…

Byron Wien had a stellar record in 2009, accurately predicting the effect of a rather robust second half recovery across a broad range of markets. However, Byron Wien's Ten Surprises for 2010 were well off the mark. Before we review I will…