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Daily commentary: on gold-backed European Maastricht compliant sinking fund
This is a belated commentary for Friday. I have a lot of links on the global growth slowdown today but I covered this earlier saying Weak global economic data signal likelihood of global recession. I wanted to highlight Marshall Auerback's…
Daily commentary: closing in on the next euro zone crisis solution
The euro zone continues to dominate the headlines, with both Spain and Greece on the verge of collapse. Ireland, however, has voted in a referendum today to decide whether it accepts the fiscal treaty that Germany has been pushing for in…
Daily commentary: more on the EuroTARP
Since I have been off for a few days I have a lot of links today, probably too many for one big linkfest but here they are. I will leave out more than usual to strip it down to the most salient ones. There's a lot on Spain and India in…
Links: 2012 05 25
Unfortunately I don't have the time to do a proper daily commentary. But here are the links.
Daily commentary: the Fragile State of China’s FX Reserves redux
I highly recommend the FT article on China's 1% in the links below. They bring up the capital flight problem that a Chinese hard landing might mean. I noted last April that Victor Shih gave a talk at INET on the Fragile State of China’s FX…
Daily commentary: thoughts on austerity as a policy tool and on India as a black swan
The news flow today is about the same as it has been throughout the week: JPMorgan Chase and Facebook in the US and Greece and to a lesser degree now Spain in the EU. I think these are the wrong narratives to be focused on. As I wrote…
Daily commentary: On free money for the German government
Not a lot to say today but I do have a lot of links. The stories today are all the same, which is why I don't have a lot to add.
One story to note is that the German government is now borrowing 2-year money at zero percent. This tells…
Daily commentary: On Facebook’s IPO, JPMorgan’s losses, Spain’s bank run and…
As always, I have a lot of links on Monday. Three or four stories have dominated the news in each market for the past week. In the US, it is about either JPMorgan Chase's escalating losses, Facebook's IPO or the general aimlessness of the…
Daily commentary: More Chinese stimulus in the works
Yesterday I wrote about Chinese trade growth plummeting. This is having a negative impact on economic growth. The Chinese authorities get that. And so they have decided to boost demand.
Daily Commentary: On policy advocacy and forecasting in Greece’s exit from the euro zone
I like write about what will happen and what policy makers will do rather than about what should happen and what policy makers should do. But Yanis Varoufakis's post on the Grexit below tells you that Greece's leaving would be catastrophic,…