2013

Last year, I was bullish on European shares and this proved the right call as they modestly outperformed. As this year begins, I am doing a lot of thinking about my much-delayed "Ten Surprises for 2011" post. And as I compile list items,…

Here's the deal: Apple's halo effect has gone and investors are not impressed by Apple's earnings guidance. This quarter's earnings is proceeding exactly as I indicated it would earlier today.

All G7 economies are struggling in the post-crisis climate, but US GDP has recovered to pre-crisis levels, while the Eurozone simply hasn’t. This column portrays the global crisis as a transitory shock for the US, but as a quasi-permanent…

News links for 23 January 2013

The synchronized crisis and economic weakness has produced synchronized easing of monetary policy. Officials typically want currency to be supporting not contradicting monetary policy signals.

There's a lot of angst surrounding Apple's earnings announcement because of the stock's sell-off. While I have turned bearish on Apple, I still believe the numbers for the quarter will be good. The question for me is guidance.

I want to briefly reiterate the theme of an October post on Britain's role in Europe because of a speech the Prime Minister David Cameron made earlier today. Cameron, in a major speech in London, promised that if his party wins the next…

News links for 22 January 2013

This is an update to today's weekly on Ireland and Portugal. Olli Rehn, the European Economics Commissioner has just confirmed my months' long forecast on how the Irish and Portuguese bailouts would proceed: with an OMT-style exit…

I never subscribed to the idea that Greece was going to be expelled from the euro zone in 2012. However, my view on Greece is more pessimistic than most. Most policy makers in Europe would have you believe the euro crisis is over. Here's…