recession

The US economy grew at 1.9% for the last decade, the slowest since the 1930s. Given that government spending is going to go down, unemployment is going to take some time to get under control; and with the whole developed world in a mess, it…

This interview with Bloomberg is from last Friday (hat tip Scot). Bianco says that despite more benign trailing and coincident indicators, the decline in leading indicators supports his market-bearish view. The interview runs about 10…

by Comstock Partners For some strange reason a number of economists and strategists seen on TV and quoted in the press maintain that the exceedingly weak recovery we are now undergoing is really a "normal" or "average"…

Warren Buffett wants his street cred back! He's coming down on the side of most people on main street who believe the recession is still ongoing despite what the NBER stat gurus say. Reuters quotes: "We're still in a…

Below is the full hour-long "Investing in America" CNBC town hall meeting from this past Monday where President Obama took questions from concerned Americans on his plans for the economy. For those who don't want to…

The main street reaction to the NBER's determination of a recovery starting in June 2009 has been – as expected – angry. Here are a few sample comments to my post on the recession's end: Obviously we need to redefine…

by the Consumer Metrics Institute We founded the Consumer Metrics Institute precisely because we felt that the economic bureaucrats in Washington were out of touch with the economy that most of us live in. They remind us of those patients…

The NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee has determined that the recession which began in December 2007 ended in June 2009. In the report announcing this decision, the NBER wrote that economic activity is typically lower post-recession than…

In this piece on GDP and recessions, John Lounsbury expands on an earlier article about how this particular recession is different. Catch more of John and other top-notch econ writers at Global Economic Intersection, John's new website on…

by John Lounsbury David Rosenberg, Chief Economist & Strategist at Gluskin Sheff, Toronto, has a graph that goes a long way toward explaining why this recovery does not feel like a recovery: Click on images for larger graphs. Is…