high yield

I started this post six days ago. But, I couldn't get it sorted because of the holiday and my need to start the blog site up again. That blog site thing and some maintenance issues at home were a real time suck. So let me give you an…

Shares are down today as the FANG stocks retreat due to investor concern about growth companies in a period of rising rates. This is only a one-day impact though. The question is whether the caution regarding riskier assets will endure. No…

I was off last week when the Fed raised rates a quarter percentage point. But I promised to comment on the Fed's action when I returned. I am doing so now.

There are a lot of different things on my radar screen right now. And below is the list of news items I want to touch on in that context. As I've been saying recently, I'm fairly bullish on the US economy and US market despite shares being…

A lot of people are still watching the flattening yield curve and distress in EM. And while I think both of these events are important, I am looking at a lot of other market signals, particularly US domestic credit markets. Here are some…

The big idea in today's daily newsletter is that 2018 is as good as it gets. There is also commentary on the manufacturing sector, yield curve flattening, and bond market liquidity

With the US treasury yield curve flattening to almost 60 basis points between 2 and 10-year maturities, we need to ask where are the vulnerabilities in the market if this spate of good news ends. I believe we should look at high yield,…

“I had to cover my shorts.” That’s what my friend Matt told me after the company came out with its quarterly earnings and issued upbeat projections. I asked Matt, “how long are you going to keep shorting these companies. This is like the…

Three years ago, the Fed had begun tightening and all other central banks were still on easy street. Now, we are at an inflection point where other central banks are likely to tighten more than the Fed. That’s negative for the US dollar and…

A pause is being considered at the Fed, even by hawkish FOMC members. The oil price crash now gathering steam makes this pause more likely. Maybe Bullard’s infamous low dot on the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections is the right way to…