Forecasts

At this stage in the financial crisis, it is difficult to discern exactly where things are headed. However, let me give a general road map of how I see things shaping up.The credit crisis started in August 2007 as a result of the dual…

In July, I made my ten predictions for the markets and global economy for the rest of the year. Some of my predictions were pretty pedestrians, and some were fairly bold. Let's take a look and see how I'm doing.Here's what I originally…

This morning Chris Whalen made some comments on CNBC that hit the nail on the head regarding the U.S. banking crisis: there is a huge wave of old-fashioned loan losses coming down the pike. The writedowns we have seen to date are largely…

At the end of July, I wrote a post of my top ten predictions for the remainder of the year. A third of the way into things, my predictions are looking pretty good...so far. I said:Oil prices will dip below $100 before year-end.Inflation…

You have probably heard by now that Washington Mutual ousted its embattled CEO Kerry Kilinger and replaced him with former Sovereign Bancorp CFO Alan Fishman. But, what you have not heard is that WaMu has signed an agreement with the…

Kenneth Rogoff, the Harvard Professor and former IMF Chief Economist shares my view that another large U.S. financial institution will go bust. I predicted this will happen before the end of 2008. He gives no specific date, but he does go…

As you could probably tell -- from all the stories I have been writing about the Baltics, Denmark, Sweden, you name it -- I believe that Europe is the next leg down in the global housing bubble. As such, it will pay to focus as much…

Late last month, I made a big to-do about the Baltics becoming the next Argentina. Well, part of that mess is unraveling as we speak. Estonia is in recession and Latvia is headed for recession.Read my translation of a Dagens Nyheter article…

Clive Crook of the Financial Times rightly takes on the Bush Administration and its squandering of hundreds of billions of dollars of fiscal surplus on war in Iraq and ta cuts for the wealthy. In this time of economic crisis, the U.S. is…