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Links: 2009-04-04
I have a ton of links today, so I have broken then out into sections. See the news feed for other stories.
Finance
Inside Obama's bank CEOs meeting - Eamon Javers - POLITICO.com “My administration,” the president added, “is the only…
Unemployment: U-6 data versus the Great Depression
Because of changes in the way the unemployment rate is calculated, the figures today are apple to oranges comparisons to the ones quoted for the Great Depression or even the 1970s. Further, changes in the economy (less manufacturing) and…
Think outside the box: ten outrageous predictions for 2009
Update: 3 Apr 2009: I have been getting more positive about the possibility of a cyclical upturn before 2009 is over (what I like to call a fake recovery). Meanwhile, the punderati are seeing black when they should be seeing shades of…
Traveling: Mexico and Germany
Over the next two weeks I will be traveling and will have a pretty sparse and sporadic posting schedule. Next week is Mexico and then the week after is Germany.
I am definitely looking to post but it probably will not be in the quantity…
Spain’s savings banks may have 40 billion in writedowns
We should consider Spain one of the four original bubble markets where residential property markets soared to ridiculous levels during the housing bubble. The bubble has now popped and those countries, the U.K., the U.S., Ireland and…
Switzerland gets deflation too
First Spain, now Switzerland:
Consumer prices in March were down 0.4% from a year ago, the Federal Statistics Office said, a 50-year low.
The country has been close to deflation all year, with inflation having fallen from a peak of 3.1%…
Employment situation report paints grim picture
I have just finished looking at the latest employment situation report and there is absolutely no good news there. This report is miles apart from the jobless claims data I reviewed yesterday and does not cofirm we are anywhere close to a…
A few comments about mark-to-market
Because I received a message via e-mail that my previous post on mark-to-market was misleading, I thought I would clarify what is happening with FAS 157 and provide some good links.
The long and short of the rule is it gives more…
Links: 2009-04-03
M2M Change = Time to buy banks? - FT Alphaville
Recession Hits Social Security Increases
“The banks” versus “some banks” - Paul Krugman Blog - NYTimes.com
Medvedev Renews Call for Alternatives to Dollar - Real Time Economics - WSJ…
A note on government statistics and unemployment
Update 31 Mar 2009: I am re-posting this post about unemployment figures from November 2008 because I think it relevant. The next unemployment number is coming out on Friday and I expect a large number. If you read this analysis, you can…