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China: reflation play spells trouble for rest of the world
Marshall Auerback here. You saw Ed’s last post on China, quoting from Peter Tasker, one of the top analysts in Japan when I lived there. I take Peter’s insights very seriously. His analysis implies something a lot moreregarding currencies,…
China is now on the same bubble path as Japan post-1987 crash
This article by Peter Tasker, a well-regarded financial analyst in Asia, comes via the Financial Times (hat tip Marshall). He sees an enormous bubble forming in China – and parallels to Japan circa 1987: Emerging markets, it seems, have…
News from around the web: 2009-11-03
I will be on Canada’s BNN TV at noonish talking about finance: Banks and Buffett. It will be a casual discussion with the moderators Howard Green and Andrea Mandel-Campbell and one other guest, Brian Milner of the Globe & Mail. Below…
Wood warns of correction, says “key variable in the West is government policy”
Christopher Wood, the well-noted market strategist at CLSA and writer of the classic Japan crash warning book “The Bubble Economy,” is now warning of a market correction in the West. According to CNBC India, Wood believes that the…
Buffett buys up Burlington Northern and does 50-1 split at Berkshire
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has been making some very significant moves of late. Selling of Moody’s shares is one. But, the latest is sure to cause a stir amongst Buffett watchers because he is definitely making some…
Lloyds to raise 21 billion pounds in biggest rights issue ever
Lloyds are looking to avoid the embrace of government by going to existing shareholders to raise capital and sidestep the draconian break-up solution foisted upon RBS by Neelie Kroes. According to Bloomberg, this is the largest rights issue…
Reserve Bank of Australia lifts rates again
This is the second straight month that the RBA has raised interest rates. From the Sydney Morning Herald: The Reserve Bank has lifted its key interest rate for a second month in a row as it attempts to keep Australia's economy on track…
Reflation watch hedge fund edition
Here’s another bullet point in our ongoing tally of reflation indicators. It’s the return of risk in the form of start-up hedge funds (John Meriwether included). From the FT: Hedge fund launches are growing in size and number after…
Japan: stimulus without reform leads to a policy cul de sac
If one wants to see what happens when you use stimulus to help keep zombie companies alive and to resist reform efforts, look no further than Japan. For twenty years now, Japan has been dealing with the consequences of a burst asset…
The EU driving changes in European banking
At the weekend I wrote about Alistair Darling’s about-face on breaking up to big to fail financial institutions. Apparently, this was not a case of labour changing tack and finding regulatory religion, but rather of the European Union…