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News Links: Ten days of secret planning to rescue markets
News links for 3 December 2011
Europe is headed to a blood in the streets outcome
My takeaway from two days in DC is that Europe is headed to a blood in the streets outcome. While ECB funding remains ongoing even as it’s uncertain, in any case, the underlying theme remains austerity. There is no plan B.
Chart of the Day: U.S. Payroll Employment By Industry, November 2011
A breakdown of employment gains and losses by industry plus an excerpt of what the BLS had to say about this morning’s employment report
More on what I think will happen in Europe
The prevailing view amongst euro area policy makers seems to be that saving Italy from default is necessary and that the only politically justifiable way to effect this rescue is to move to fiscal integration. All of the statements by…
Some Thoughts on the U.S. Jobs Report and Implications
As often is the case, economic data can be a bit of a Rorschach test, in that reasonable people can see and value different aspects of the report. This holds for today's US employment report. The headlines were good--140k private sector…
News Links: Draghi – If fiscal policy becomes hawkish, monetary policy will be dovish
News links from 2 December 2011 include links on the European sovereign debt crisis, the UK economy, the latest on mortgages and technology as well as other stories.
NFP up +120,000, unemployment rate 8.6%, hourly earnings down
Bottom line: the numbers are decent but they beat expectations. Markets are in a bullish end of year tape painting frame of mind, so stocks will rally. Daddy needs a bonus so Santa is indeed coming to town. The Santa Claus rally is on.
Dollar Soft ahead of US Payrolls
The dollar is trading on an easier footing as risk improves ahead of payrolls and hope of EZ action. US private payrolls expected to come in at 150k; strong report likely to be supportive of sentiment. Merkel calls for treaty changes in…
Central Bank Action Not A Solution
European leaders will meet again on December 9th in an attempt to come up with the solution. The important point, though, is that the probable solution would call for European nations to surrender some sovereignty over fiscal policy to a…
Egan-Jones on French ratings downgrade from AA- to A
Sean Egan explains that this downgrade came because of increasing concerns that France's banks will have to be bailed out by the government. Video below