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House Prices Plunge in Chinese Ghost City
Could this be part of the reason the Shanghai was the only major index we track that was down last week?
News Links: Euro Zone Economy Shrinks
News links for 5 December 2011 featuring stories on Europe, the sovereign debt crisis, and shadow banks,
The Facts They Don’t Want You to Know
If I told you that the composition of an average UK equity fund changes by 90% a year, would that startle you? How would you feel if I added that the 20 funds with the highest turnover returned just 4.7% to investors in the 3 years to the…
Italian minister breaks down in tears over austerity budget
Italy's government has come forward with an aggressive 30 billion euro austerity package to prevent the country's bankrupcty and pave the way for the fiscal integration that Angela Merkel is pushing as the key to solving the European debt…
The Euro, Currency Sovereignty and Adopting a Foreign Currency
It is apparent that adoption of a foreign currency is equivalent to running a very tight fixed exchange rate regime. It provides the least policy space of any exchange rate regime. This does not necessarily mean that it is a bad policy. But…
Slightly Better News Stream, US Dollar Softer
The US dollar is beginning the week on a softer note, but well within recent ranges. Most of this week's key events lie ahead. The day earlier than planned and somewhat larger Italian austerity plan coupled with talk of ECB purchases has…
Stephen Roach on the IMF bailout, Chinese banks and US consumers
Here’s a good all-encompassing Bloomberg TV video with Morgan Stanley’s Stephen Roach from Friday. He is not impressed with the IMF plans that the Europeans are working on, calling the numbers “chump change”. Roach also talks about the US…
News Links: Euro doomed from start, says Jacques Delors
News links for 4 December 2011.
March to Folly: Underestimating Germany and the ECB
The probability of a German-led fiscal union in Europe is greater than the consensus suspects given its arguments that only an ECB backstop and a European bond will prevent the end of the greater experiment. In addition, the argument is…
How do we know that China is overinvesting?
For years I have been arguing that the Achilles heel of the Chinese growth model is the unsustainable rise in debt that comes as a necessary consequence of capital misallocation fueled by bank lending. Capital misallocation, I argued, was…