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Greek protests turn very anti-Germany
This is how it's going down in Greece right now. The sentiment is very Anti-German on the eve of the austerity/bailout decision. The debt haircut and writedowns coming of upwards of 50% is a default in everything but name. Technical default…
Use of lower-rated debt in repos has returned to pre-crisis levels
Looks like there’s a storm brewing in the U.S. repo markets.
It figures: profit-center banks have every motivation to stay one step ahead of the regs and the pols. Since the gamekeepers have now gotten around to looking at proprietary…
Dow Transports lagging is a warning sign
There are still a lot of Dow Theory followers out there even after over 100 years. And the divergence between a bullish DJIA headline number and the lagging Dow Transports is bearish from a technical perspective.
Tuesday’s Surprises from Australia and Japan
The dollar is mixed against the majors and EMs but largely remains confined to recent ranges. The EuroStoxx 600 slid for a second straight day, currently down 0.5%; MSCI Asia index holds recent highs. Demand in Greek bill sale eased…
News Links: Greek Default: Why Now May Be Best Time to Do It
Greek Default: Why Now May Be Best Time to Do It - US Business News Blog - CNBC
Last week in general gave life to the recovery theme, with 15 of 23 indicators beating expectations and causing some economists to raise their growth…
Quick note on updates at Credit Writedowns
I have instituted a few changes at Credit Writedowns to which I wanted to alert readers. The changes were mostly for members but they affect all readers. I had heard from a few member readers that it wasn't clear where member content…
Ireland’s Private Debt Problem
You saw the chart about two weeks ago on Developed economies’ debt levels by sector. Different economies have different debt problems. A few like Greece have public sector debt woes. And this is the sort of problem that forces a default…
Global Manufacturing Steadies as She Goes, or Does She?
The year got off on a much better foot than might have been expected, at least as far as global manufacturing is concerned. So the fall in global manufacturing has flattened out, even though the bounce back has more of a dead cat look about…
Growth momentum shift to Emerging Markets continues
Two weeks ago I highlighted the fact that Indonesia has re-attained an investment grade rating, continuing the upward path it has been on since the Asian crisis derailed the Asian growth story 15 years ago. Indeed, we should expect emerging…
An Update on Italian Sovereign Outperformance
Ahead of the next LTRO at the end of the month, Spanish and Italian bonds may begin consolidating after the large moves seen over the past month. The scope for Italian out performance in the month ahead appears somewhat more limited than…