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Daily Commentary: On defined contribution pension plans
Some thoughts on defined benefit and defined contribution in today's world of negative real rates plus today's links
Shiller: Real Chance of Japan-like Housing Slump in US
Shiller says the shift toward renting and city living could mean “that we will never in our lifetime see a rebound in these prices in the suburbs." Watch the video.
Why Minsky Matters
My friend Steve Keen recently presented a “primer” on Hyman Minsky. In his piece, Steve criticized the methodology used by Paul Krugman and argued that Krugman could learn a lot from Minsky. In particular Krugman’s equilibrium approach and…
The worst anti-regulatory travesties in the financial sphere have had broad, bipartisan support
The imminent passage of the fraud-friendly JOBS Act caused me to reflect on the fact that the worst anti-regulatory travesties in the financial sphere have had broad, bipartisan support. The Garn-St Germain Act of 1982, which deregulated…
China Politics: Reflections from a One Party State
Perhaps because they call themselves Communists, many observers, think the party is homogeneous, but it is not. There are forces of movement and forces of order. A FT columnist recently wrote about the possible threat to the post-Mao…
Global economic themes
Warren Mosler presents some macro economic themes that will have implications for the investing and business climate.
Bill Gross on Risk Seeking Return and Safe Carry
Bill Gross is out with his monthly commentary. Because his points are central to the discussion of policy and markets right now, I am going to write this weekly newsletter commentary outside the paywall. The major question is about how to…
Dollar Soft, Bernanke Misunderstood
Judging from the press coverage, we suspect many observers have misunderstood Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke's comments yesterday. They need to be placed in the context of what went before: namely several hawkish regional presidents…
Hussman also jumps on the profit mean reversion bandwagon
John Hussman just came out with a note that also warns about reversion to the mean in profit margins. Here I have some comments on how these trends play out in earnings and the stock market.
Video: Gas Prices Explained
I missed this one from Omid Malekan a few weeks back but it's a good primer on gas/petrol prices for those of you who are interested.