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Peak oil: light sweet crude production has peaked globally
Editor's note: As controversial as the subject of peak oil is, the comments about global warming and other environmental problems are equally controversial. This site does not subscribe to the view that global warming concern is overblown…
Latest on China: all is well and “economic growth is stabilizing”
By Sober Look
Here are some of this morning's key economic news coming out of China. Given that China has been the largest component of the global GDP growth, the situation is worth monitoring closely. 1. China's stock market hit a new…
Daily: ECB penalty rates for sovereign debt as conditionality
I am a bit pressed for time, so the like will be short today. The key issue is the ECB's bond buying. I wrote up the key variables in the weekly earlier but here are some general thoughts. The IMF says that Spain and Italy's bonds have…
The variables which will influence the ECB’s coming monetisation
I am off again this week and doing short duty on the blog. But I want to say a few words about the ECB and its impending monetisation plans given Mario Draghi's decision to pull out of the Jackson Hole event sponsored by the Kansas City…
Catalonia to tap Spain’s regional bailout fund
By Sober Look
As expected, more of Spain's regions are asking for a bailout. The program to help the regions was set up in July (see discussion) to create Spain's internal version of the "Stability Bond". With the regional fiscal problems…
Daily: The Apple vs. Samsung verdict will probably not stand
The big news is still Apple vs. Samsung. The lead story here from Groklaw is very interesting because it credibly identifies reasons why the jury's verdict was flawed legally and why that will give Samsung the right to appeal. The key was…
Profit Incentives, Disruptive Technology, and Reducing Health Care Costs
By Rick Bookstaber
Medical care is famously immune to the usual market incentives; the patient has little reason to make a cost-benefit tradeoff. Doctors and hospitals hardly do either; indeed the opposite seems to be the case. Matters are…
How do we measure debt?
By Michael Pettis
In the last issue of my newsletter much of the first half was dedicated to a discussion of recent events in Spain and Italy and why they reinforce the argument that several countries will be forced to leave the euro and…
Daily: The Apple-Samsung verdict doesn’t alter the macro picture in mobile
I am a macro guy and so I usually discount the importance of single events when thinking about the bigger picture. That said, this is a momentous decision and a stunning defeat for Samsung. And it should be clear that Samsung was copying…
Look who benefits most from a weak euro
By Sober Look
Analysts often talk about how the weak euro helps exporters in the Eurozone, particularly Germany because of its massive export sector. But is Germany the main beneficiary? Which other nations want the euro to weaken further?…