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The Fed’s selling volatility into the market will force a mispricing of risk
By Sober Look
Credit Suisse has made an important point with respect to the Fed's purchases of MBS. As we know, a mortgage borrower is long an option to prepay. That means a mortgage lender is short this same prepayment option. Therefore a…
By 2015, hard commodity prices will have collapsed
By Michael Pettis
For the past two years, as regular readers know, I have been bearish on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their peaks during this time, but I don’t think the bear market is over. I think we…
Has ‘Super Mario’ really saved the euro?
By Marshall Auerback
Germany’s Constitutional Court gave a green light on Wednesday for the country to ratify Europe’s new bailout fund, boosting hopes that the single currency bloc is finally putting in place the tools to resolve its…
Fitch threatens Catalonia with downgrade to junk as Spanish sovereign contingent liabilities mount
Catalonia is the region that was first to announce plans to tap the Spanish government's 18 billion euro bailout fund as the region has been locked out of debt markets. Earlier today, the Spanish government announced that it had obtained 3…
‘Unprecedented crisis’ in the French single-family housing sector
In today's links was a Figaro article which pointed to a slowdown in French housing transactions in Q2 2012. As sales are the first to decline in a housing bust, this turn of events bears watching, especially because France is embarking on…
Daily: My thoughts on QE3
Here are some quick thoughts on QE3. Central banks around the world are taking the lead on reflation where fiscal agents refuse to do so. And the policy stances have become increasingly aggressive. Right now, every major central bank is…
Chart of the Day: 24-hour spot gold
Due to the continued high rate of unemployment, the Federal Reserve today took an aggressive policy stance that is being dubbed QE3. The Fed will purchase $40 billion mortgage bonds per month and extend the maturity of its holdings of…
Full text: FOMC statement regarding QE3
The Federal Reserve Board issued the following statement in conjunction with the FOMC's decision to begin an aggressive round of quantitative easing.
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August suggests that…
Daily: More on Ray Dalio and debt deflation
I wrote a blurb about Ray Dalio yesterday afternoon based on his talk at the Council on Foreign Relations. And I always enjoy Ray Dalio's perspective because the macro framework he uses is based on debt and credit stocks across business…
The latest conversation with Bridgewater Associates’ Ray Dalio
Ray Dalio spoke with Maria Bartiromo at the Council on Foreign Relations this morning about a number of economic and financial topics. Dalio covered a number of topics including deleveraging the euro crisis and alternative investments like…