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Bank fraud, Japanese and Australian economic woes and other sad tales
I have a panoply of links today. There is no one over-riding theme though I do want to address the Japan question in more depth at some point. I have seen some commentary from Kyle Bass and Jeffrey Gundlach on the dire straits Japan finds…
Bakken shale oil fields and peak oil
The top two stories in today's links are on shale oil and the fiscal cliff. I will concentrate on the shale oil issue and say a few parting words about the fiscal cliff. We have three articles on shale oil here and I think the lead article…
Daily: Amazon to release a smartphone in 2013
I have been predicting that Amazon would launch a smartphone in 2013 for some time. And now we have more evidence that this is going to happen. See my September post "Is the Amazon Phone a Boon or Threat for Google and Android?" for when I…
Daily: Threads on Lower Apple Sales Estimates and on the Irish Economy
Quick post here. Apple's sales estimates were downgraded, as I posted yesterday. The reason for the downgrade was channel and supplier checks which revealed lower sales volume than initially believed. Apparently, Apple has told suppliers to…
Spanish house price decline accelerates to 15.2% year-on-year
The last time I reported on the Spanish housing market in August, we were in the midst of a bank deposit run caused by the redenomination risk. This was pre-OMT. At the time, we saw an acceleration in the house price declines. House prices…
UBS and Jeffries cut Apple price targets. Still say buy
UBS analysts Steven Milunovich cut his price target for Apple from $780 to $700 today, and that has the stock reeling. It was down to $512 the last I checked, a loss of 3.3% on the day. I have great respect for Milunovich as an analyst and…
Chance of going over the fiscal cliff is now at least 75%
According to Stan Collender, the chance that the US goes over the fiscal cliff is now at least 75%. This rhymes with what I have been saying all along. I would put the number at 90%. The US will NOT get all of the line items to prevent the…
Daily: As Fed adopts Evans Rule on way to NGDP targeting, Carney hints BoE is next
I am not going to do justice to the monumental change the Fed just instituted with the FOMC's policy statement yesterday but I am going to take a first stab at it here in this daily with a number of articles below to follow. Here's the crux…
The stealth bank bailout via leveraged FHA loans
When David Stevens left his position in the Obama Administration in 2011 as the head of the Federal Housing Administration to go to head the Mortgage Bankers Association, the chief lobbyist for the industry he once regulated, I posted on…
Daily: The Student Loan Crisis
Yves Smith has an interesting post out asking whether student loans are going the way of subprime, potentially triggering another financial crisis if the US goes into recession. I think it's a good question to ask in light of my last weekly…