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Europe’s banks must be recapitalized
Europe has been postponing the recapitalisation of its banking sector. This column argues that it has been doing so for far too long. Without such a recapitalisation, the danger is that economic stagnation will continue for a long period,…
Outlook in US, UK, Japan and Australia
Daily comments on finance, economic and market news for 6 Jun 2013
Australia: Market not buying RBA’s optimism
Australia's central bank left rates on hold yesterday as was generally expected. The RBA continues to be quite hawkish as well as relatively optimistic on the nation's economy. Given the "cash rate" is at historical lows at 2.75%, the board…
What has changed in the emerging markets?
This is what has changed in the EM space in, our view. 1) Brazil is stepping up its defences against market volatility. 2) Signs that China is looking for more (and better) sources of external funding sources is mounting. 3) Turkish…
The Wisdom of Crowds
MPT is based on a number of assumptions, some of which are more restrictive than others. The question is whether the sum of those assumptions is so far off the mark that it renders the entire theory absolutely useless. Effectively the…
Daily Comments: 2013-06-06 – European economy
The data flow out of Europe today is pretty bad. German factories orders missed and unemployment rose to record levels in France and Greece. Meanwhile the IMF admitted that Greece's delayed debt restructuring "provided a window for private…
Daily Comments: 2013-06-05
Daily comments on finance, economic and market news for 4 Jun 2013
Daily Comments: 2013-06-04
Daily comments on finance, economic and market news for 4 Jun 2013
A change in tone at the Fed on tapering
While the recent data have pushed the Fed's QE withdrawal timetable out, the latest Fed statements indicate a level of hawkishness on tapering QE that we haven't seen in the last few weeks. This jobs report is shaping up to be a key data…