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The Crisis as a Classic Financial Panic
Below is the text of a speech delivered on Friday by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on the recent financial crisis and its similarities to financial panics like the Panic of 1907 (which led to the founding of the Federal Reserve in…
It Ain’t Gonna be Ben’s Fed for Much Longer
Everyone is familiar with the fact that Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke’s second term as Chairman is drawing to a close. Janet Yellen is widely expected to ultimately be confirmed by the Senate. What is less appreciated is that the…
About that ECB interest rate cut
Consumer price inflation in the Eurozone has been below the target of 2% and falling for quite some time. But until now, the ECB has been sitting on its hands. Inflation some distance below target didn't appear to bother it - most likely…
Will debt derail Abenomics?
debt matters, even if it is possible to pretend for many years that it doesn’t (and this pretense was made possible by the implicit capitalization of debt-servicing costs). Japan never really wrote down all or even most of its investment…
QE is not inflationary, but is it deflationary?
I've suggested previously that QE could actually be deflationary. I looked at it from several perspectives - collateral effects, the monetary transmission mechanism, distributive effects, even Peter Stella's "deadwood" inhibiting bank…
QE: Euthanasia of the economy?
Over the past couple of years it has gradually become the consensus view that QE has failed because it hasn’t created the economic growth that everyone was hoping for. I find that view overly simplistic and naïve in equal measures. QE - or…
Q3 GDP – An Inventory Restocking Story
The release of the first estimate of Q3 GDP was initially met with excitement as the headline print of 2.82% growth was far in excess of consensus estimates of 2.0%. Unfortunately, the euphoria quickly faded as the details painted a much…
ECB rate cut highlights dichotomies within Euroland; watch Italy
Yesterday the European Central Bank cut the interest rate on its main refinancing operations by 25 basis points to a record low 0.25%. It also cut the rate on the marginal lending facility by 25 basis points to 0.75%. The news was…