More warnings on regional banks

The President of the Boston Fed, Eric Rosengren, has in effect said that small and regional banks are at risk in the next wave of writedowns for U.S. financial institutions. He sites construction loan exposure in particular as a place to…

Irish property dam about to burst

Along with the residential housing bust in Ireland, a commercial real estate (CRE) bust is definitely on the table. According to the newspaper the Irish Independent up to 10 billion euros of writedowns are possible for the Irish property…

Spain: Week’s News Round-Up

This is a Spanish-language only News Round-Up on the economic situation in Spain from El Pais.Zapatero pisa el acelerador por la crisis¿Crisis? ¿Qué crisis? "Escenario de dificultad", "periodo de ajuste fuerte" o "desaceleración profunda de…

Chart of the day: Real GDP growth

I don't trust the U.S. government's inflation number for measuring real GDP. The annual rate of inflation in this measurement is only 2.2%, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is running at a 4.0% clip. That's as large a differential as…

The revised GDP number: pure fiction

The GDP number was revised upwards from 0.6% growth to 0.9% growth. However, what is most interesting is the GDP implicit price deflator. This is the index number the BEA uses to get from nominal GDP to real GDP, the inflation-adjusted…

Case-Shiller Time Machine

I was just reviewing the Case-Shiller local metropolitan indices and saw that as the decline gets steeper, each of the 20 markets is reverting back to price levels 3 and 4 years in the past. So, here's what I have on each metro area as of…

Round-Up: 30 May 2008

Double, double, oil and trouble Thursday, May 29, 2008 9:41 AM Is it 'peak oil' or a speculative bubble? Neither, really. AFTER oil hit its recent record of $135 a barrel, consumers and politicians started to lash out in every direction.…

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