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Browsing Category
Markets
S&P500 Faces a Fork in the Road
Lots of chatter out there about the 2008 and 2010 analog for the S&P500 so we constructed a tracking chart for you.
On Sweden and Capital Preservation
Capital preservation has once again has become mantra. The safety offered by Japan and Switzerland are meeting resistance from policy makers. As the market looks for alternatives, the Swedish krona has much to offer, including a relatively…
Eight thoughts at the end of a tumultuous Week
This has been an extremely tumultuous week throughout the capital and commodity markets. August itself has been a cruel month. The German stock market has lost around a quarter of its value. A marked slow down in the US and Europe in Q2 has…
Brazil has more monetary policy space in the event of global crisis
Frederick Searby says that Brazil has the opposite problem of the developed economies in that it is dealing with overheating and inflation while the developed economies have a serious deflationary undertow. His view is that if there is a…
Bear market is far from over
We believe that the market has now entered a major downtrend. It is a mistake to dismiss the slide we've seen to date as mindless and devoid of fundamentals as many strategists maintain. These are not just scary headlines----they are scary…
The yen is a safe haven as Japan is the world’s largest creditor
The yen is a safe haven. That assertion seems so obvious, that why it is the case is rarely explored. It does not seem to be a function, as some suggest, of its trade surplus, but rather its position as a net international investment…
US real 10 year yields at record 225bpt discount to JGBs
PIMCO, the world’ largest bond fund call this suppression of yields financial repression because it means savers and bond investors get negative real returns. However, John Hempton pointed out that in Japan, where this monetary policy is…
Stocks tumble
The dollar is firmer against nearly all the majors amid risk aversion; European stocks at a 6-day low. Markets are likely to focus on the US data in today’s session; downside surprise supportive of USD. PBOC expects to see less upward…
Constructive view of Canadian dollar
The US dollar fell to 4-year lows against the Canadian dollar late last month near CAD0.94. In the tumultuous markets in the first half of August, the US dollar rallied about 6.5% into August 9th to briefly poke through CAD1.0 for the first…
The lessons of the crisis of 40 years ago
Andy Lees takes a sceptical view of fiat currency and the excess credit it has created over the past forty years and uses a few charts to demonstrate his points.