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Browsing Category
Markets
Canada’s housing market is coming unstuck
I have run several stories in the past about Canada's housing bubble because I have visited a number of Canadian cities over the past few years and all of them seemed to be building like mad. Vancouver and Toronto were the worst of the lot…
Chart of the day: Commodities
For the second day in a row we are basking in the glow of an up market (update: or at least we were until the last 12 minutes). Everyone's happy. But, some people are happier than others. And the happiest amongst the bunch are those people…
Case-Shiller: home prices fall even further
The S&P/Case-Shiller® Home Price Indices were released today. They showed a further decline in home prices in the United States through August 2008 (the data most recently available). In the year to August, prices dropped 17.7% for the…
Valero crushes earnings: I was wrong
A while back, as I scanned the wreckage of the market meltdown, the energy sector caught my attention. In particular, I noticed the refining and oil services sectors because they are not as beholden to falling prices as the Exploration and…
Massive short covering at VW and massive losses for hedgies
I ran across a very disturbing news item today that is getting a lot of press in Germany. Apparently, the leveraged finance community is getting routed at the German Automaker VW. The crux of the situation is that Porsche, which controls…
Subprime good, prime bad
The latest trend in the U.S. housing market is the move of problem loans from the subprime category and into Alt-A and prime mortgages. We have been sounding the alarm bells on this since about June. See the related posts below. However,…
Chart of the day: Aussie – Yen cross
Of the major currencies, the Japanese Yen has been the strongest in the last few months, while the Australian Dollar has been the weakest. These two currencies have also been the most conspicuous in the Japanese carry trade. That trade is…
Forced liquidation
The recent movement in global markets has me scratching my head a bit. You have people dumping gold and the Swiss Franc in order to invest in the U.S. dollar and Treasury securities. Everyone says it is a flight to quality. I do not…
Currency crisis is gathering storm
In the last few weeks, the currency market is where the action has been. We have witnessed massive moves in every major currency and in some not so major ones. To my mind, all of this is a prelude to some sort of currency crisis.
This…
Dollar strength is an illusion
I have felt for sometime that dollar strength is a counter-trend that has a sell-by date written all over it. You see, the Federal Reserve is ballooning its balance sheet like nobody's business as it tries to be the global lender of last…