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Markets
The latest dollar rout revealed
The U.S. dollar is getting crushed again today. I have been waiting to see if and when it hits parity with the Swiss Franc. Today’s action brings us that much closer. The dollar is losing ground against the dollar bloc (Kiwi, Aussie…
Case-Shiller: U.S. home prices up for third month in July
The most recent data from the widely-followed S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices was made available today. These data from July show house prices in the U.S. increasing for the third month in a row, suggesting that house prices have…
Mobius: Still bullish on Emerging Markets
Mark Mobius is one of the most famous Emerging Markets investors and right now he is bullish on Emerging Markets despite a huge rally in shares from late last year. Mobius turned bullish right as shares troughed and has remained so ever…
Faber: Gloom, Boom or Doom?
How about all three. Faber released another provocative newsletter this month that has a little grist for investor of all stripes. Boom. His short-term outlook is bullish because he believes money-printing will underpin the market even…
Bill Gross: Sell equities and buy Treasuries
Bill Gross is a bond man. In fact, he is often called the “Bond King” because Pimco, the organization where he is founder and Co-Chief Investment Officer, is the largest bond fund in the world. In Bondland, what Gross says has a lot…
Way too much risk in the equity market
Following up on my “Sell equities” post, I want to highlight a factoid from today’s David Rosenberg’s Breakfast with Dave distribution.
Never before has the S&P 500 rallied 60% from a low in such a short time frame as six months. And…
The Dollar Carry Trade
One other reason to sell the dollar is interest rates. Why not borrow in dollars where interest rates are low and invest elsewhere where yields are high? This is what is known as the carry trade.
In the past decade, the Japanese yen…
Sell equities
In late August, I wrote a post called “Getting bearish again” in which I said that the bear market rally I had anticipated back in March was long in the tooth. At the time, I mentioned 1026 on the S&P 500 as a sell signal. …
Kass: Bearish on equities
This comes via TheStreet.com and Doug Kass, a noted market strategist: Many strategists (both bullish and bearish) assume that a fair value P/E multiple -- based on interest rates and inflation -- rests at about 15.5 times. Averaging…