Markets

Highlights US dollar was mostly weaker vs. the majors, up modestly only vs. AUD and CAD as the euro made another new high for the cycle near 1.2950. By ending the day at the highs, further euro gains look likely in Asia today. The yen and…

Highlights The US dollar is broadly lower against the major foreign currencies.   The combination of Fed’s recognition of downside risks to the US economy and inflation coupled with relatively smooth bond auctions from Spain and…

The minutes from the recent FOMC meeting were not as dovish as some had expected and this seems to have encouraged some profit-taking on short dollar positions. As widely expected the Fed to cut inflation and growth forecasts, but the…

Picking up where I left off in the last post regarding forward earnings, David Rosenberg has this to say: Intel enjoyed its best quarter ever at the peak of the inventory cycle. Well done. What we are grappling with is this. If the…

Highlights The US dollar is consolidating its recent losses in largely uneventful activity.  Sterling is the main exception to the generalization.  Boosted by the firmer than expected CPI report yesterday and today’s favorable…

Highlights US dollar was weaker vs. the majors, as the euro recovered to end the day higher after it fell to its lowest level vs. the dollar since July 6.  Moody’s downgraded Portugal to A1 from Aa2, but this was offset by strong…

Spain's Finance Minister Salgado says the downgrade of Portugal earlier today does not put pressure on Spain. It is true as far as it goes, but of course Spain's problem transcends Portugal. The ruling Socialists in Spain are seven seats…

Highlights The US dollar is broadly mixed as the news stream buffets the foreign exchange market.  A better than expected reception to  the Greek T-bill auction helped mitigate the reaction to Moody’s decision to cut Portugal’s…

John Hussman is out with another good piece this week in which he deconstructs all of the short-termism and technical analysis dominating the talk of market followers in the US. He opens saying: Perhaps the best way to begin this week's…

Canada reported incredibly strong jobs data before the weekend.  Canada grew 93.2k jobs, more than 4 times more than than market expected.  It grew almost 50k full time jobs.  These are impressive numbers and renews…