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Markets
Muni Bond Crisis: What Kind of Numbers Are We Talking?
Here is a good segment on CNBC that takes another look at the muni issue which Chris Christie and Meredith Whitney raised on 60 Minutes on Sunday. Benjamin Thompson of Samson Capital says he can't get the numbers Meredith Whitney used…
John Brynjolfsson Is Betting On Convergence in Europe, Playing the Curve in US
John Brynjolfsson, the CIO at the hedge fund Armored Wolf, is betting on convergence. In his view, the credit quality of the banks and people of Germany and France, will soon look like the credit quality in Spain and Portugal. I featured a…
Is this Nasdaq Chart Bullish?
This comes from Andy Lees of UBS: A few weeks ago I sent out a note highlighting that the Nasdaq was approaching its post 1974 trend line from which the average movement has been 24.06% in the subsequent couple of months. At the time I…
Clarifying The EFSF/EFSM Bond Issuance
The European Commission announced plans to sell bonds to fund the Irish bailout through the EFSF and EFSM. Each entity will issue EUR3-5 bln in 2011, and will mainly have maturities of 5, 7, and 10 years. More debt will be issued in 2012.…
Euro Recovery Stalls After News of Moody’s Portugal Warning
from the BBH Currency Strategy Team Turnaround Tuesday appears to be in force today, with the dollar softer and EM firmer. However, ranges are fairly narrow as trading slows and markets thin ahead of the Christmas holiday. Euro staged a…
Core Euro Zone Coming Under Increased Scrutiny
Our sovereign ratings model puts France as a borderline AA+/Aa1/AA+ credit, so there is certainly a risk that France is downgraded from its current AAA/Aaa/AAA ratings in the coming quarters. However, because the slippage is borderline, we…
S&P Upgrades China’s Sovereign Ratings
In the CNBC Asia video below, Tan Kim Eng, director of sovereign ratings at Standard & Poor's Ratings, says China won't be coming to international markets to sell its sovereign debt anytime soon because it can fulfil its needs…
A Vote for Gold
"...Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney tried to calm everyone's nerves by declaring that gold 'has no role to play in the international monetary system.'"
Globe and Mail, November 12, 2010
Carney did not calm the…
Euro Softness Continues
from the BBH Currency Strategy Team Dollar is mixed so far today, largely weaker against the majors and firmer against EM currencies. Euro is trading softer due to ongoing concerns regarding the crisis, with EUR/CHF making new lows near…
Muni Bonds: Tax Free Doesn’t Mean Worry Free
By Kevin Brekke, Editor, Casey Research Prior to the 1930s, it was not legally possible for a U.S. municipality to declare bankruptcy as no legislation existed covering this event. The growing number of insolvent towns during the 1930s…