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Markets
Chinese Financial Review: Onshore and Offshore
Almost a week before S&P’s move, Fitch cut the outlook for China’s yuan debt to negative from stable. Media coverage was almost non-existent and there has hardly been any commentary. Frankly, most observers don’t even seem to know it…
Greece Euro Zone Exit Seems Unlikely
The euro took another leg lower in thinned afternoon North American markets after Der Spiegel online reported that Prime Minister Papandreou is contemplating a Greek exit from the euro zone and that the EC is calling a "confidential"…
What does Jim Rogers think about the silver crash?
"I hope that silver goes down for a while because it was turning into a parabolic move, every parabolic move ends badly, I hope that silver and all commodities continue to go up with normal corrections along the way and in 5 or 10 years,…
This is what a commodities crash looks like
(Hat tip Business Insider for the video and Conor Sen for the connection). Gee Wally, I wonder if speculation had anything to do with it.
The Case for Human Ingenuity
There are essentially three reasons why I think oil prices will go through a rather dramatic correction over the next several years:
1. Many investors who, in recent years, have added commodities to their portfolios as a hedge will…
Bill Gross: ‘Low policy rates represent an immediate threat to investment portfolios’
Bill Gross: Low policy rates and the increasing negative real yields that they engender as inflation accelerates represent an immediate threat to investment portfolios. Bond prices don’t necessarily have to go down for savers to get skunked…
Odds the Euro Reaches $1.60
The euro is struggling to extend its advancing streak to the eleventh session. However, the main driver, of divergent monetary policy stances remains intact. In fact, news today that 3-month Euribor is at 2-year highs and 3-month Libor was…
Catalysts for Change in the FX Driver
The main driver that has led to a persistent decline in the US dollar through the last several months is the divergent thrust of monetary policy. It has left the Federal Reserve as a laggard in the global cycle and, in turn, has left the…
Win Thin: Bernanke is giving a green light to the risk-on trade
Win Thin of Brown Brothers Harriman was on Bloomberg talking to Tom Keene and Michael Cloherty, head of U.S. rates strategy for fixed income and currencies at RBC Capital Markets, about the global markets for a good fifteen minutes today.…
The Housing Bear Climbs Over the Mountain
Regardless of the actual numbers, the housing market has one more mountain of mortgage resets to climb; it started last month and will continue through late 2012. This will only aggravate the number of foreclosures. With house prices…