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Economy

US Recession Signals

The U.S. has been flashing red regarding recession for some time despite the naysayers.First, let me define recession because you usually hear that it's two consecutive quarters of a decline in real GDP. Not exactly. The National Bureau…

The UK Economy

Recent news out of the UK has been very negative. There is so much data piling up suggesting that the UK is quickly moving toward a US-style housing collapse that I am going to use this blog entry to post recent news stories without…

Credit Crisis Timeline

The list below is the largest collection of links related to the present credit crisis on the web. I have been amending this list since May 2008. But, as the list is pretty large now, I have taken care to break it up into different…

Inflation is here to stay

The inflation genie may be out of the bottle for a while. The headlines are being made by food and energy prices spiking higher. The Fed and many economists ignore food and energy when looking to underlying inflationary trends, relying…

Last week’s employment numbers

As with the GDP numbers last week, the employment numbers were very dubious indeed. The headline number was still a loss of 20,000 jobs. However, the detail point to likely revisions much beyond that number when more exact data have been…

Last week’s GDP numbers

This weekend I received a disturbing newsletter from John Mauldin, provacatively entitled " Lies and Other Statistics," that dissected the GDP numbers where the headline number was +0.6%. Digging into the detail reveals a completely…

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