Economy

A recent poll which ended on Wednesday as to when the economy will recover yielded the results below: Clearly, you think this downturn has legs! Please feel free to ping us with other important questions we should be asking…

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia is out with a widely followed Business Outlook Survey for June.  The numbers are very good. Declines in the region's manufacturing sector were much less in evidence in June, according to…

This video of US Bancorp CEO Richard Davis on CNBC is good in getting to the motivations and thinking of bank CEOs now repaying TARP monies.  Davis sounds articulate, well-prepped and diplomatic and makes a lot of sense.  You couldn’t ask…

The unemployment insurance weekly claims report revealed that the number of persons filing an initial claim rose 3,000 this past week to 608,000.  While these are still very high numbers, they are the lowest since January, suggesting…

Last month I said that June was significant for two reasons.  First, we are going to get our first test of data that could disappoint, which would spell trouble for an overbought market. But, just as important, we need to watch the…

It’s not just California.  Tax revenue is falling everywhere. State income-tax revenue fell 26% in the first four months of 2009 compared to the same period last year, according to a survey of states by the nonprofit Nelson A.…

The Washington Post is reporting that the Obama administration has rejected initial pleas from the State of California for U.S. Government aid. However, the post report reveals that Tim Geithner told California it must make get its fiscal…

Last night I wrote an article reminding you that downside risk remains in the global economy.  While I have been singing a more bullish tuneregarding the prospect of a technical recovery in 2009, I am concerned about a double dip as a…

With more and more major economists predicting recovery sometime later this year, many have forgotten that downside risks remain.  Berner, Roubini, Volcker, Krugman and Bernanke have all come out essentially saying they would not be…

Will Hutton has a pretty good interview with Paul Krugman in the Guardian newspaper.  The exchange is quite long, so it gives you a fairly broad understanding of Krugman’s view on the global economy and specific country economies.  What I…